Induce will be double the pain and if waterbag don't break after induce but dr/gynae do it for you the pain can be excruciating. This is also if your pain tolerance level is not high. You might ended up taking epidural/gas and if this also doesn't work then it will end up as emergency c section.
Recently, I chance upon a local celebrity Nadiah M Din, telling her followers of her birth journey. Which recently was at 40 weeks, baby weighing more than 3/4 kg and she did natural birth with zero stitches. You should go see her ig and read on all her 4 kids birth story. From first child c sect, second child VBAC, third child natural, fourth natural.